Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.276032 3.466307 3.668711 3.901255 4.162593 4.449090 4.789536
2025-04-13 2.889926 3.131810 3.401205 3.727104 4.115831 4.571665 5.157832
2025-04-20 2.699182 2.987350 3.321824 3.746551 4.283858 4.959993 5.910341
2025-04-27 2.550428 2.874606 3.264829 3.782900 4.476527 5.414723 6.869964
2025-05-04 2.452741 2.812635 3.261336 3.884223 4.769420 6.067601 8.340018
2025-05-11 2.338936 2.719478 3.207686 3.911394 4.965501 6.633681 9.945644
2025-05-18 2.222910 2.613341 3.125993 3.888515 5.084202 7.114055 11.698014
2025-05-25 2.083177 2.465802 2.975498 3.748898 4.998518 7.224685 12.763505
2025-06-01 1.984288 2.366215 2.883086 3.685024 5.025972 7.556414 14.702584
2025-06-08 1.905729 2.288994 2.815789 3.651529 5.099195 8.006132 17.573463
2025-06-15 1.847598 2.236024 2.778747 3.660670 5.249387 8.680419 22.577514
2025-06-22 1.771231 2.153226 2.692210 3.580883 5.221221 8.935868 26.542645
2025-06-29 1.692232 2.068298 2.605231 3.506439 5.221434 9.353867 34.311069
2025-07-06 1.608417 1.972853 2.497281 3.388091 5.119104 9.479414 41.938855
2025-07-13 1.568270 1.938250 2.479708 3.423775 5.346295 10.728376 93.758661
2025-07-20 1.533165 1.909006 2.468298 3.469549 5.611431 12.382076 62665.601717
2025-07-27 1.511232 1.897818 2.484327 3.567708 6.031106 15.252751 NaN
2025-08-03 1.477530 1.867056 2.466484 3.600102 6.304193 18.077906 NaN
2025-08-10 1.437952 1.825340 2.427764 3.587362 6.458262 20.717773 NaN
2025-08-17 1.382820 1.757477 2.341732 3.471711 6.297916 20.888986 NaN
2025-08-24 1.342597 1.711043 2.289276 3.419838 6.315164 22.750335 NaN
2025-08-31 1.309443 1.674190 2.250936 3.393328 6.404501 25.805532 NaN
2025-09-07 1.284522 1.649076 2.231070 3.403345 6.613677 31.666714 NaN